Apparently I've been accused of sounding like AI. Which is honestly devastating. Not because I'm offended, but because I have spent an embarrassing amount of time staring at football stats, arguing with myself about whether a 25% target share is actually interesting, and coming up with increasingly stupid puns for player names. If that's AI,

The waiver wire is starting to look a little different. We're three weeks into the season, the first round of bye weeks is right around the corner, and suddenly those end-of-the-bench roster spots are looking a lot more important. The Panthers and Chiefs will be off in Week 5, followed by the Bengals, Lions, Dolphins,

Two weeks down, and we're finally starting to learn a little more about these teams. We've seen enough football to have some early ideas about which offenses are clicking, which players are earning bigger roles, and, perhaps most importantly, which defenses we want to avoid. That doesn't mean we have everything figured out, far from

One week down, and somehow we already know everything, right? At least that's what fantasy Bluesky/Twitter would have you believe… Week 1 is always a little chaotic. We get surprise breakouts, disappointing debuts, weird game scripts (thanks Australia), unexpected usage, and approximately 53 people ready to declare that a player they loved all offseason is

Come in, come in, sit down. So tell me, what brings you in today? Mmhmm. Mmhmm. I see. OK. Well, you've certainly got plenty on your mind. I know, I know, it's a lot to carry all at once, but don't worry, we're gonna help you sort through it. After all, it's early in the

You're on the clock in your rookie draft. You're sweating, weighing need vs. talent vs. positional scarcity… you make your pick. You take a deep breath, knowing you got The Guy. It doesn't even matter where you took him. It could be the 1.01, it could be the 3.07, and no matter where you took

Last time, I showed you that every position has a curve. You know, those fun roller-coaster-shaped things that mimic players' careers. You have the adrenaline junkie running backs that peak early and fall fast. Then there are the kiddie ride wide receivers who have a broad prime. And quarterbacks have a slope that your grandparents

Now that I've defined Tiers and Eras, you're ready for the next building block. If you have no idea what I am talking about, please check out Vol. 1 (click here) before reading on. Careers have a shape. You know this if you've been a football fan for any length of time; of course, you've

It has been said that the beginning is the very best place to start. Well, like most things, the GUTS model didn't start at one point, so nailing down a beginning is difficult. But I'm choosing this as a beginning. I know, I can hear it now, "Lou, that's a nice little acronym, but how

I hear it every year. "Man, this class isn't great, so I'm trying to move my current picks into next year's draft class. Haven't you heard? It's loaded!" Or, "Oh man, I'm trying to buy everything I can this year. Next year's class doesn't look so hot, so I don't mind burning those picks to