Welcome back to Fantasy Football ADP Trends, everyone and my apologies for the delay. Here’s a look at some players I find interesting (complimentary) and interesting (derogatory) based on their current Average Draft Position (ADP).

Fantasy Football ADP Trends

QB ADP Trends

• The difference in ADP between Joe Burrow (QB3) and Dak Prescott (QB8) makes no sense. Both players throw at a high volume, are surrounded by elite weapons and only chip in minor contributions on the ground. Save some draft capital and avoid Burrow at his ceiling.
• Have you heard the legend of Wristband Trevor Lawrence? Since donning the cheat sheet midway through last season, Lawrence has been a top-six fantasy QB. He also heads an offense with a plethora of receiving weapons and no proven running game, a situation that should lead to high passing volume. He’s a steal at QB11.
• We are only one season removed from Baker Mayfield being QB3 over a full season. He struggled in 2025, but not so much that he should be going QB20 behind guys like Kyler Murray and Tyler Shough. Watch out for a sneaky bounce-back from Mayfield.

RB ADP Trends

• Speaking of the Bengals and Cowboys: what’s the difference between Chase Brown and Javonte Williams? Two clear lead backs without elite ability who make fantastic RB2s on your fantasy teams, yet Brown is going at RB10, and Williams is down at RB18. Name a better duo than the Bengals and the preseason hype train.
• I think everyone forgot that D’Andre Swift is a solid player. He’s in a two-headed Chicago backfield, yes, but he’s the pass catcher and the home run hitter in a high-flying offense. I expect him to continue to outpace Kyle Monangai in terms of fantasy production and beat his current RB24 price.
• Rico Dowdle represents an interesting option at RB32. He’s run for over 1,000 yards in back-to-back seasons with different teams, he possesses week-winning upside, and he can catch the ball a little as well. Dowdle should fit nicely next to Jaylen Warren in Pittsburgh.

WR ADP Trends

• Consider this my Tetairoa McMillan Apology Form. I felt he was an overrated prospect who would struggle to get open against NFL competition early in his career, and I was dead wrong. McMillan carried Carolina’s passing offense and earned Offensive Rookie of the Year for his efforts. He should continue to get better as well, which is why his WR17 ADP is far too low in my estimation.
• Another super sophomore: Emeka Egbuka is likely to be the top target for the aforementioned Baker Mayfield in Tampa after the departure of Mike Evans to San Francisco. He has clear top-12 upside if he receives a higher percentage of catchable targets than he did in 2025, and his ADP is just WR20.
• How about getting Jordan Love‘s most consistent receiver at WR45? You can do just that by scooping up Jayden Reed, who boasts increased opportunity due to Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks signing elsewhere in free agency. Reed is a dynamic athlete who gets open at a high clip and plays in a good offense; what’s not to like?

TE ADP Trends

• Kyle Pitts was the same guy he’s always been in 2025, aside from one gargantuan Thursday Night Football performance. The man throwing him the ball in that contest, Kirk Cousins, no longer plays for the Falcons. Color me skeptical he can live up to being TE7 by ADP, ahead of both Sam LaPorta and Travis Kelce.
• Isaiah Likely was downgraded significantly at QB, moving from the Ravens to the Giants this offseason. He’s also never finished higher than TE16 in his four-year career. Why spend the TE12 price on Likely when you can get his more proven former teammate, Mark Andrews, a round later?
• With the A.J. Brown saga finally over, Dallas Goedert represents the incumbent #2 target in Philly’s offense. Goedert also has a higher floor than most tight ends outside the top-12 in ADP due to his consistently high touchdown production relative to the position. He’s an incredibly safe bet to finish above where he’s currently being drafted at TE14.

These are the early days of draft season, so you can expect ADPs to fluctuate as September approaches. We’ll keep you updated on some of the biggest movers in each forthcoming edition of ADP Trends. Thank you for reading!

Walker Kelly is a writer and podcaster from Michigan. She has been involved in the fantasy football industry since 2018. You can find her voice on the Football Absurdity podcast and her posts on Bluesky @bddrix.bsky.social.