Welcome to a new series of articles here at Optimus Fantasy: ADP Trends! Every other week, I’ll take a look at some notable changes in average draft position (ADP) and give my input on what this means for drafts. Let’s get right into it!

Fantasy Football ADP Trends – Omarion Not Where He’s Post To Be?

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Quarterback

• Josh Allen is currently going in the early third round, more than a full round before any other quarterback. This will likely continue, and is justified: Allen has been a top-two QB in each of the past four seasons.
• Jaxson Dart could smoke your draft at QB8. He’s a volatile player with an already long injury history, and he’s breaking in a new offensive coordinator in 2026. Dart also lost his favorite target from last season, Wan’Dale Robinson, in free agency.
• Forever connected, forever underrated: reigning MVP Matthew Stafford and ultra-consistent Jared Goff are QB15 and QB16 by ADP, making them ideal targets in superflex leagues. These veterans may not have Konami Code upside, but they’re steady performers who rarely miss games.

Running Back

• Omarion Hampton has two solid role players behind him on the depth chart and was an inefficient runner in his rookie season. The Chargers improved their offensive line and brought in Mike McDaniel as offensive coordinator, which should help, but a mid-second-round ADP makes Hampton incredibly risky.
• Built different, literally: they don’t make running backs like Derrick Henry very often. It’s a mistake to use the old “rather be out a year early than a year late” adage with future Hall of Fame players. Henry should be going earlier than RB13.
• Bhayshul Tuten is the dead zone RB to end all dead zone RBs. Bottom 10 efficiency as a runner last season, and the Jaguars spent good money to bring in Chris Rodriguez Jr. in free agency. If you want a piece of Jacksonville’s backfield, Rodriguez Jr. is the best value by far.

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Wide Receiver:

• Unfortunately for Drake London, Tua Tagovailoa will be playing much of the quarterback position for the Falcons this season. These two players are a bad fit: London is a downfield mismatch who eats in the intermediate levels of the field, while Tagovailoa thrives on getting the ball out of his hands as quickly as possible. London’s current WR7 ADP represents his ceiling.
• NFC North foes Luther Burden and Jameson Williams provide league-winning upside at the back end of the fourth round. Williams is a known commodity with his electric speed and big-play ability (17.2 yards per reception in 2025), and Burden III is well on his way to becoming a similar force in Chicago, sporting an incredible 60% receiving success rate as a rookie.
• Brian Thomas Jr. is the best value in drafts at the moment. He was the WR1 overall in the 2024 fantasy playoffs and is the most talented receiver on a team that loves to throw the ball. BTJ has top-12 WR upside, and he’s going outside the top-30 at the position.

Tight End

• George Kittle tore his Achilles tendon in January, and he will turn 33 years old during the 2026 season. He also hasn’t had more than 94 targets in a season since 2019. That is not someone you draft as a top-12 TE, yet his current ADP is TE9.
• The Saints didn’t exactly have the league’s best offense in 2025, yet Juwan Johnson put up almost 900 yards on 77 receptions. Now he gets a whole offseason to build chemistry with Tyler Shough. He’s a nice value at TE17.
• Did you know Dalton Schultz is going undrafted despite being a top-12 TE five of the last six seasons? If you typically punt the position, Schultz represents your best chance at consistent production.

These are the early days of draft season, so you can expect ADPs to fluctuate as September approaches. We’ll keep you updated on some of the biggest movers in each forthcoming edition of ADP Trends. Thank you for reading!

Walker Kelly is a writer and podcaster from Michigan. She has been involved in the fantasy football industry since 2018. You can find her voice on the Football Absurdity podcast and her posts on Bluesky @bddrix.bsky.social.