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Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch Week 3: Risers, Fallers, and Trade Targets

By Published On: September 25th, 2025

by Mike Vadala

Published On: September 25th, 2025

We’ve watched three weeks of football, and player values are moving all around. Here are my key takeaways so far this NFL season, and how you can use them to inform your dynasty team management decisions.

Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch Week 3: Risers, Fallers, and Trade Targets

The Cowboys’ Offense Is Legit.

In my last two articles, I mentioned the Cowboys’ offense looked legit in Week 1 and wanted to see how things would go in Week 2 against an underrated Giants defense. Dak Prescott supported nearly every fantasy-relevant player in a Week 2 shootout overtime win. In Week 3, the Cowboys took a major hit when CeeDee Lamb suffered a high-ankle sprain. Even without Lamb, several players remained fantasy-relevant against the Bears, and I expect the offense to keep producing.

NFL passing leaders through Week 3:
– Justin Herbert, 860
– Geno Smith, 831
– Daniel Jones, 816
– Dak Prescott, 800
– Drake Maye, 785
– Russell Wilson, 778
– Jared Goff, 761
– Josh Allen, 755
– Matthew Stafford, 739
– Lamar Jackson, 722

— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa.bsky.social) September 23, 2025 at 10:55 AM

This offense could be forced into offensive shootouts against the Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions late in the fantasy regular season. Cowboys players face a tough test in the first round of the playoffs against the Vikings’ defense. However, in Weeks 16 and 17, the Chargers and Commanders could push Dak and the Cowboys into shootout mode, especially since replacing Micah Parsons looks harder than Jerry Jones expected.

Javonte Williams has been a reliable option for the Cowboys and is still only 25 years old. After Week 1, he ranked behind Trey Benson, Kaleb Johnson, and mid-to-early second-round picks on KeepTradeCut. His value has climbed since the season began, but I’m still happy to buy Williams in dynasty. He was once ranked as a dynasty RB2, and two years removed from his season-ending knee injury, I’m willing to pay up for someone with that kind of upside.

Javonte Williams has 227 rushing yards for the Dallas Cowboys.

This is the fifth-most that any player has ever had in their first 3 games in a Cowboys uniform.

(via @pro-football-reference.com)

[image or embed]

— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa.bsky.social) September 22, 2025 at 10:38 AM

I’m also buying up the rest of this offense in dynasty. Jake Ferguson looks like a great option after hauling in what felt like a million catches in Week 3 with Lamb sidelined. George Pickens, at 24 years old, can step up with Lamb out and solidify his role in this high-powered offense. Even Jalen Tolbert and Kavontae Turpin are worth deep dynasty flyers, since this offense will need to score every week, and Dak and the offensive line can make it happen.

The Colts May Be Frauds, But It Might Not Matter.

I, too, have been rubbing my eyes at both the Colts’ 3-0 record and Daniel Jones’ fantasy production. Danny Dimes has converted some fantasy managers into believers, but I’m not yet convinced that all of this fantasy success is real.

The Colts’ unblemished record is partly due to an easy schedule to start the season. They’ve beaten the Dolphins (0-3), the Titans (0-3), and the Broncos (1-2, with their one win coming against the Titans). So it’s not as if they have knocked off teams that are playing high-level football. 

Week 4 will be the Colts’ first real test, on the road against the Los Angeles Rams. I don’t expect the Colts to stifle the Rams’ offense, and I could see Jared Verse causing trouble for Daniel Jones. If this team is going to implode and reveal its true colors, this could be the game that sinks its season.

The case for Jones and the Colts is that their defense, skill players, and offensive line can elevate average QB play. Coupled with one of the NFL’s easiest schedules, the Colts could keep this up if they survive Week 4.

If you’re interested in investing in the Colts in dynasty leagues, I’d recommend waiting until after this matchup with the Rams. We should see the spike performances dull against a much stronger opponent, which should give you a slightly more favorable buy window.

The hottest targets in this offense are Jonathan Taylor, running like he’s in peak form, and Tyler Warren, who is living up to his Penn State hype. The WRs in this offense are more questionable. Pittman has the most win-now value, but is closer to the age cliff than you might think, and still relies on Daniel Jones. Josh Downs has youth and can get open, but hasn’t emerged as a top-tier talent. Despite big-play potential, Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell aren’t worth paying for.

In DEEP 1-QB dynasty leagues with large benches, Anthony Richardson is an intriguing add. Daniel Jones likes to run, and that can invite injury. Richardson’s reputation is not great in fantasy or real-life football circles, but the fantasy ceiling is overall QB1. It’s worth it to grab him on the cheap now if you can afford to sacrifice the bench spot.

Don’t Count Out Justin Fields And The New York Jets… For Fantasy.

One bad game, and two great ones. Whether you want to believe it or not, this has been the case for the 0-3 New York Jets. 

The Jets started the season with a shootout at home vs. the Steelers for Week 1. In that game, the Jets produced the QB2, RB11, and WR7. They lost in heartbreaking fashion, 34-32. In Week 2, the Jets hosted the Bills, and it was a tragically different story. Fields didn’t look good before eventually being knocked out of that game with a concussion. In Week 3, Fields didn’t play, but Tyrod Taylor was able to support Garrett Wilson for a line of 10/84/1 on 13 targets. Breece Hall was also able to salvage his day despite rushing for only 21 yards with four receptions for 31 yards.

This seems likely to be a team that performs well against weaker opponents but struggles against stronger ones. That being said, it’s essential for fantasy managers of Fields, Wilson, or Hall to note the handful of “bad teams” remaining on the Jets’ schedule. These “bad teams” include the Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos, Panthers, Bengals, Browns, Patriots, Falcons, Jaguars, and Saints. Feel free to adjust this list at your own discretion. 

This is a great time to target Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson in dynasty leagues. Both are young players with high-end talent. Fields is a great player to target with caution, as we must leave open the possibility that he may play his way out of a job in the NFL. Fields is worth pursuing for his high ceiling if he can get the rushing going.

Remember The Basics

When making any moves in a dynasty league, please remember the basics. Know your team’s build, contender status, and age, and be ready for football’s sudden changes. You’re fully capable of making your own observations and acting on them! I hope sharing my thought process sparks ideas you haven’t yet considered.

Mike Vadala is a dynasty analyst here at Optimus Fantasy, where you can find his updated dynasty rankings.

We’ve watched three weeks of football, and player values are moving all around. Here are my key takeaways so far this NFL season, and how you can use them to inform your dynasty team management decisions.

Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch Week 3: Risers, Fallers, and Trade Targets

The Cowboys’ Offense Is Legit.

In my last two articles, I mentioned the Cowboys’ offense looked legit in Week 1 and wanted to see how things would go in Week 2 against an underrated Giants defense. Dak Prescott supported nearly every fantasy-relevant player in a Week 2 shootout overtime win. In Week 3, the Cowboys took a major hit when CeeDee Lamb suffered a high-ankle sprain. Even without Lamb, several players remained fantasy-relevant against the Bears, and I expect the offense to keep producing.

NFL passing leaders through Week 3:
– Justin Herbert, 860
– Geno Smith, 831
– Daniel Jones, 816
– Dak Prescott, 800
– Drake Maye, 785
– Russell Wilson, 778
– Jared Goff, 761
– Josh Allen, 755
– Matthew Stafford, 739
– Lamar Jackson, 722

— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa.bsky.social) September 23, 2025 at 10:55 AM

This offense could be forced into offensive shootouts against the Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions late in the fantasy regular season. Cowboys players face a tough test in the first round of the playoffs against the Vikings’ defense. However, in Weeks 16 and 17, the Chargers and Commanders could push Dak and the Cowboys into shootout mode, especially since replacing Micah Parsons looks harder than Jerry Jones expected.

Javonte Williams has been a reliable option for the Cowboys and is still only 25 years old. After Week 1, he ranked behind Trey Benson, Kaleb Johnson, and mid-to-early second-round picks on KeepTradeCut. His value has climbed since the season began, but I’m still happy to buy Williams in dynasty. He was once ranked as a dynasty RB2, and two years removed from his season-ending knee injury, I’m willing to pay up for someone with that kind of upside.

Javonte Williams has 227 rushing yards for the Dallas Cowboys.

This is the fifth-most that any player has ever had in their first 3 games in a Cowboys uniform.

(via @pro-football-reference.com)

[image or embed]

— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa.bsky.social) September 22, 2025 at 10:38 AM

I’m also buying up the rest of this offense in dynasty. Jake Ferguson looks like a great option after hauling in what felt like a million catches in Week 3 with Lamb sidelined. George Pickens, at 24 years old, can step up with Lamb out and solidify his role in this high-powered offense. Even Jalen Tolbert and Kavontae Turpin are worth deep dynasty flyers, since this offense will need to score every week, and Dak and the offensive line can make it happen.

The Colts May Be Frauds, But It Might Not Matter.

I, too, have been rubbing my eyes at both the Colts’ 3-0 record and Daniel Jones’ fantasy production. Danny Dimes has converted some fantasy managers into believers, but I’m not yet convinced that all of this fantasy success is real.

The Colts’ unblemished record is partly due to an easy schedule to start the season. They’ve beaten the Dolphins (0-3), the Titans (0-3), and the Broncos (1-2, with their one win coming against the Titans). So it’s not as if they have knocked off teams that are playing high-level football. 

Week 4 will be the Colts’ first real test, on the road against the Los Angeles Rams. I don’t expect the Colts to stifle the Rams’ offense, and I could see Jared Verse causing trouble for Daniel Jones. If this team is going to implode and reveal its true colors, this could be the game that sinks its season.

The case for Jones and the Colts is that their defense, skill players, and offensive line can elevate average QB play. Coupled with one of the NFL’s easiest schedules, the Colts could keep this up if they survive Week 4.

If you’re interested in investing in the Colts in dynasty leagues, I’d recommend waiting until after this matchup with the Rams. We should see the spike performances dull against a much stronger opponent, which should give you a slightly more favorable buy window.

The hottest targets in this offense are Jonathan Taylor, running like he’s in peak form, and Tyler Warren, who is living up to his Penn State hype. The WRs in this offense are more questionable. Pittman has the most win-now value, but is closer to the age cliff than you might think, and still relies on Daniel Jones. Josh Downs has youth and can get open, but hasn’t emerged as a top-tier talent. Despite big-play potential, Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell aren’t worth paying for.

In DEEP 1-QB dynasty leagues with large benches, Anthony Richardson is an intriguing add. Daniel Jones likes to run, and that can invite injury. Richardson’s reputation is not great in fantasy or real-life football circles, but the fantasy ceiling is overall QB1. It’s worth it to grab him on the cheap now if you can afford to sacrifice the bench spot.

Don’t Count Out Justin Fields And The New York Jets… For Fantasy.

One bad game, and two great ones. Whether you want to believe it or not, this has been the case for the 0-3 New York Jets. 

The Jets started the season with a shootout at home vs. the Steelers for Week 1. In that game, the Jets produced the QB2, RB11, and WR7. They lost in heartbreaking fashion, 34-32. In Week 2, the Jets hosted the Bills, and it was a tragically different story. Fields didn’t look good before eventually being knocked out of that game with a concussion. In Week 3, Fields didn’t play, but Tyrod Taylor was able to support Garrett Wilson for a line of 10/84/1 on 13 targets. Breece Hall was also able to salvage his day despite rushing for only 21 yards with four receptions for 31 yards.

This seems likely to be a team that performs well against weaker opponents but struggles against stronger ones. That being said, it’s essential for fantasy managers of Fields, Wilson, or Hall to note the handful of “bad teams” remaining on the Jets’ schedule. These “bad teams” include the Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos, Panthers, Bengals, Browns, Patriots, Falcons, Jaguars, and Saints. Feel free to adjust this list at your own discretion. 

This is a great time to target Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson in dynasty leagues. Both are young players with high-end talent. Fields is a great player to target with caution, as we must leave open the possibility that he may play his way out of a job in the NFL. Fields is worth pursuing for his high ceiling if he can get the rushing going.

Remember The Basics

When making any moves in a dynasty league, please remember the basics. Know your team’s build, contender status, and age, and be ready for football’s sudden changes. You’re fully capable of making your own observations and acting on them! I hope sharing my thought process sparks ideas you haven’t yet considered.

Mike Vadala is a dynasty analyst here at Optimus Fantasy, where you can find his updated dynasty rankings.

We’ve watched three weeks of football, and player values are moving all around. Here are my key takeaways so far this NFL season, and how you can use them to inform your dynasty team management decisions.

Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch Week 3: Risers, Fallers, and Trade Targets

The Cowboys’ Offense Is Legit.

In my last two articles, I mentioned the Cowboys’ offense looked legit in Week 1 and wanted to see how things would go in Week 2 against an underrated Giants defense. Dak Prescott supported nearly every fantasy-relevant player in a Week 2 shootout overtime win. In Week 3, the Cowboys took a major hit when CeeDee Lamb suffered a high-ankle sprain. Even without Lamb, several players remained fantasy-relevant against the Bears, and I expect the offense to keep producing.

NFL passing leaders through Week 3:
– Justin Herbert, 860
– Geno Smith, 831
– Daniel Jones, 816
– Dak Prescott, 800
– Drake Maye, 785
– Russell Wilson, 778
– Jared Goff, 761
– Josh Allen, 755
– Matthew Stafford, 739
– Lamar Jackson, 722

— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa.bsky.social) September 23, 2025 at 10:55 AM

This offense could be forced into offensive shootouts against the Eagles, Chiefs, and Lions late in the fantasy regular season. Cowboys players face a tough test in the first round of the playoffs against the Vikings’ defense. However, in Weeks 16 and 17, the Chargers and Commanders could push Dak and the Cowboys into shootout mode, especially since replacing Micah Parsons looks harder than Jerry Jones expected.

Javonte Williams has been a reliable option for the Cowboys and is still only 25 years old. After Week 1, he ranked behind Trey Benson, Kaleb Johnson, and mid-to-early second-round picks on KeepTradeCut. His value has climbed since the season began, but I’m still happy to buy Williams in dynasty. He was once ranked as a dynasty RB2, and two years removed from his season-ending knee injury, I’m willing to pay up for someone with that kind of upside.

Javonte Williams has 227 rushing yards for the Dallas Cowboys.

This is the fifth-most that any player has ever had in their first 3 games in a Cowboys uniform.

(via @pro-football-reference.com)

[image or embed]

— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa.bsky.social) September 22, 2025 at 10:38 AM

I’m also buying up the rest of this offense in dynasty. Jake Ferguson looks like a great option after hauling in what felt like a million catches in Week 3 with Lamb sidelined. George Pickens, at 24 years old, can step up with Lamb out and solidify his role in this high-powered offense. Even Jalen Tolbert and Kavontae Turpin are worth deep dynasty flyers, since this offense will need to score every week, and Dak and the offensive line can make it happen.

The Colts May Be Frauds, But It Might Not Matter.

I, too, have been rubbing my eyes at both the Colts’ 3-0 record and Daniel Jones’ fantasy production. Danny Dimes has converted some fantasy managers into believers, but I’m not yet convinced that all of this fantasy success is real.

The Colts’ unblemished record is partly due to an easy schedule to start the season. They’ve beaten the Dolphins (0-3), the Titans (0-3), and the Broncos (1-2, with their one win coming against the Titans). So it’s not as if they have knocked off teams that are playing high-level football. 

Week 4 will be the Colts’ first real test, on the road against the Los Angeles Rams. I don’t expect the Colts to stifle the Rams’ offense, and I could see Jared Verse causing trouble for Daniel Jones. If this team is going to implode and reveal its true colors, this could be the game that sinks its season.

The case for Jones and the Colts is that their defense, skill players, and offensive line can elevate average QB play. Coupled with one of the NFL’s easiest schedules, the Colts could keep this up if they survive Week 4.

If you’re interested in investing in the Colts in dynasty leagues, I’d recommend waiting until after this matchup with the Rams. We should see the spike performances dull against a much stronger opponent, which should give you a slightly more favorable buy window.

The hottest targets in this offense are Jonathan Taylor, running like he’s in peak form, and Tyler Warren, who is living up to his Penn State hype. The WRs in this offense are more questionable. Pittman has the most win-now value, but is closer to the age cliff than you might think, and still relies on Daniel Jones. Josh Downs has youth and can get open, but hasn’t emerged as a top-tier talent. Despite big-play potential, Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell aren’t worth paying for.

In DEEP 1-QB dynasty leagues with large benches, Anthony Richardson is an intriguing add. Daniel Jones likes to run, and that can invite injury. Richardson’s reputation is not great in fantasy or real-life football circles, but the fantasy ceiling is overall QB1. It’s worth it to grab him on the cheap now if you can afford to sacrifice the bench spot.

Don’t Count Out Justin Fields And The New York Jets… For Fantasy.

One bad game, and two great ones. Whether you want to believe it or not, this has been the case for the 0-3 New York Jets. 

The Jets started the season with a shootout at home vs. the Steelers for Week 1. In that game, the Jets produced the QB2, RB11, and WR7. They lost in heartbreaking fashion, 34-32. In Week 2, the Jets hosted the Bills, and it was a tragically different story. Fields didn’t look good before eventually being knocked out of that game with a concussion. In Week 3, Fields didn’t play, but Tyrod Taylor was able to support Garrett Wilson for a line of 10/84/1 on 13 targets. Breece Hall was also able to salvage his day despite rushing for only 21 yards with four receptions for 31 yards.

This seems likely to be a team that performs well against weaker opponents but struggles against stronger ones. That being said, it’s essential for fantasy managers of Fields, Wilson, or Hall to note the handful of “bad teams” remaining on the Jets’ schedule. These “bad teams” include the Dolphins, Cowboys, Broncos, Panthers, Bengals, Browns, Patriots, Falcons, Jaguars, and Saints. Feel free to adjust this list at your own discretion. 

This is a great time to target Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson in dynasty leagues. Both are young players with high-end talent. Fields is a great player to target with caution, as we must leave open the possibility that he may play his way out of a job in the NFL. Fields is worth pursuing for his high ceiling if he can get the rushing going.

Remember The Basics

When making any moves in a dynasty league, please remember the basics. Know your team’s build, contender status, and age, and be ready for football’s sudden changes. You’re fully capable of making your own observations and acting on them! I hope sharing my thought process sparks ideas you haven’t yet considered.

Mike Vadala is a dynasty analyst here at Optimus Fantasy, where you can find his updated dynasty rankings.

By Published On: September 25th, 2025

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